Oscar Predictions, 2017 (Updated with Results)

This year I have seen the fewest nominees in recent memory, so crushing the Oscar pool will have to be a matter of performance art. I suppose there are worse things to have to settle for, but it still would have been nice to have watched more good movies this year. At the moment, I have seen just two of the Best Picture nominees: Hell or High Water and Manchester by the Sea, both of which are great. I’ll get around to the rest in time, I suppose. Another movie I really enjoyed was The Jungle Book, which came out so long ago it really doesn’t seem — to my mind, at least — that it could have possibly been released in 2016, but I suppose that’s what happens when you stop seeing many movies in theaters and a never-ending election becomes so pervasive that it drowns out everything else in media and entertainment.

Here are my 100% correct Oscar predictions, whipped up without much thought or consideration.

MAJOR CATEGORIES (Predictions)

Best Picture: La La Land – haven’t seen it, but should win
Best Director: La La LandMoonlight could upset here, but I don’t smell a split this year
Best Actor: Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea – Many seem to think Denzel will win, but I’m just not seeing it; Affleck was awfully good and Denzel has two Oscars already
Best Actress: Emma Stone, La La Land – the Academy will want to reward one of the leads, and this one makes more sense since Portman has already won
Best Supporting Actor: Mahershala Ali, Moonlight – lock
Best Supporting Actress: Viola Davis, Fences – she’s supposed to be good, plus she should have won for The Help instead of Meryl Streep for that godawful Thatcher film, so this is a make-up call
Best Original Screenplay: Manchester by the Sea – consolation prize
Best Adapted Screenplay: Moonlight – consolation prize
Best Animated Feature: Zootopia – haven’t seen it, but this is the consensus pick
Best Documentary Feature: O.J. Made in America – astounding and spellbinding; haven’t seen the others but this is a remarkable achievement and deserves to win
Best Foreign Language Film: The Salesman – why not?

TECHS (Predictions)

Best Cinematography: La La Land – I hear Arrival has a good shot at this, but I haven’t seen either film so I’ll stick with the sweeper
Best Costume Design: La La Land – should probably watch out for Jackie but I’ll stick with the sweeper
Best Film Editing: La La Land – sticking with the sweeper
Best Makeup and Hairstyling: Star Trek Beyond – didn’t see it, but anything but Suicide Squad please
Best Original Score: La La Land – on paper La La Land shouldn’t be able to lose this, but who knows
Best Original Song: La La Land – I’ll go with “Audition”
Best Production Design: La La Land – I hear Arrival is impressive, but I’ll stick with the sweeper
Best Sound Editing: Hacksaw Ridge – war films do well here
Best Sound Mixing: La La Land – musicals do well here
Best Visual Effects: The Jungle Book – stunning stuff

SHORTS (Predictions)

Best Animated Short: Piper
Best Documentary Short: The White Helmets
Best Live-Action Short: Ennemis Interieurs

The above three are apparently consensus picks. Who the hell knows who will win these.

(Actually, I put in way more thought for this than I expected. Old habits die hard.)

MAJOR CATEGORIES (Results)

Best Picture: Moonlight – for a second there, I thought I had swept the major categories
Best Director: Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Best Actor: Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
Best Actress: Emma Stone, La La Land
Best Supporting Actor: Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
Best Supporting Actress: Viola Davis, Fences
Best Original Screenplay: Manchester by the Sea
Best Adapted Screenplay: Moonlight
Best Animated Feature: Zootopia
Best Documentary Feature: O.J. Made in America
Best Foreign Language Film: The Salesman

TECHS (Results)

Best Cinematography: La La Land
Best Costume Design: Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them – No Oscars for a single Harry Potter movie (they had 8 to choose from), but they give one to this? Are you kidding me?
Best Film Editing: Hacksaw Ridge – not sure there was really a favorite here, so this isn’t a surprise
Best Makeup and Hairstyling: Suicide Squad – I still don’t want to see it
Best Original Score: La La Land
Best Original Song: “City of Stars,” La La Land – Had the right movie, just the wrong song
Best Production Design: La La Land
Best Sound Editing: Arrival – Really thought Hacksaw Ridge would win this, but good for Arrival
Best Sound Mixing: Hacksaw Ridge – Interesting that it wins here instead of for Sound Editing
Best Visual Effects: The Jungle Book

SHORTS (Results)

Best Animated Short: Piper
Best Documentary Short: The White Helmets
Best Live-Action ShortSing – Got 2 out of 3, so I can’t complain about missing this one

BOTTOM LINE

16 out of 24, including almost all the major categories and 2 out of 3 shorts. Not bad. Whiffed on the techs though — guess that’s what happens when you don’t actually watch any of the movies beforehand.

And next time actually announce the correct Best Picture winner. Jesus.

Author: Eric Mack

29-year-old digital marketing specialist for a global 3D printing/additive manufacturing company. I also blog about entertainment.

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